(Kiøbenhavn, Johan Rudolph Thiele, 1799). 4to. Without wrappers. In: ""Nye Samling af det Kongelige Danske Videnskabernes Selskabs Skrifter."" Vol. V. Pp. 116-143.
First printing of a remarkable paper, probably being the first to give a mathematical treatment of the probability distribution of votes in the cases where voting - yes or no - selects itself into undergroups also voting yes or no and thus relating the result to the primary voting.The author, called ""The German Hume"" is well known for his work ""Einleitung zur Berechnung der Leibrenten und Anwartschaften"", which is a landmark work in actuarial science.